No War! Stay With Ukraine
Dear Friends! Ukrainian need our help right now! Every little donation will save a life and give hope! Donation wallets: Bitcoin: bc1q5jzk5xxez7xke82g4fslk2gaevx2syzyrx8vt9 Ethereum: 0xe8d995F329a2845628D747636738239Aa8A194A6 TRC20 – Tether USDT/TRON/USDC: TFtSZZ1d5FDKs3SXHvZPnTqXkbfvaCmQsb ERC20 – Tether USDT/USDC: 0xe8d995F329a2845628D747636738239Aa8A194A6 Litecoin: ltc1q27envtwjk25lz0pgzafn5ugwgrmp4q5dp3fuql Dogecoin: DJLfx2jvqS7t7DPdkqU39LUeoPP9LvioPb
No War! Stay With Ukraine
Dear Friends! Ukrainian need our help right now! Every little donation will save a life and give hope! Donation wallets: Bitcoin: bc1q5jzk5xxez7xke82g4fslk2gaevx2syzyrx8vt9 Ethereum: 0xe8d995F329a2845628D747636738239Aa8A194A6 TRC20 – Tether USDT/TRON/USDC: TFtSZZ1d5FDKs3SXHvZPnTqXkbfvaCmQsb ERC20 – Tether USDT/USDC: 0xe8d995F329a2845628D747636738239Aa8A194A6 Litecoin: ltc1q27envtwjk25lz0pgzafn5ugwgrmp4q5dp3fuql Dogecoin: DJLfx2jvqS7t7DPdkqU39LUeoPP9LvioPb
Afrika Cup Wetten Analyse
Der Kern des Problems
Viele Wettfreunde unterschtzen die Sprunghaftigkeit der afrikanischen Mannschaften; das reicht nicht fr profitabel Bubbles. Hier entsteht das eigentliche Risiko, das Sie nur mit kalter Analyse minimieren knnen.
Statistiken, die zhlen
Ein kurzer Blick auf die letzten drei Turniere zeigt, dass die Siegquote von berraschungsteams von 12% auf 27% geschossen ist das ist ein klaffender Unterschied, den die meisten Buchmacher bersehen.
Formkurve versus Historie
Formkurve ist das neue Blut in den Adern der Wettwelt: Ein Team, das in den letzten zehn Spielen drei Tore pro Spiel erzielt, hat fast doppelt so viel Schwung wie ein historisch starker Gegner, der seit Monaten nicht brechen konnte.
Wettstrategien fr den Afrika Cup
Hier ist das Vorgehen: Setzen Sie auf kombinierte Over/Under-Mrkte, weil die Tore in Afrika oft wie ein wstenwind pltzlich ber das Feld peitschen. Kombinieren Sie das mit Handicap-Wetten, um die Schwankungen zu zhmen.
Live-Wetten als Joker
Live kann das Spiel in Sekunden wenden; nutzen Sie das, indem Sie den Spielstand genau beobachten, denn ein einzelnes Tor im 80.Minute kann das gesamte Marktbild zerreien.
Risiken und Chancen
Das grte Risiko liegt im emotionalen Over-Commitment an Favoriten, die wie ein lschender Stern kurz vor dem Finale erlschen. Die Chance hingegen liegt im kleinen, aber wachsamen Blick auf Unterdogs, die im Finale pltzlich explodieren.
Die Rolle der Quotenanalyse
Quoten sind das Radar, das Ihnen sagt, wo das Boot sinkt. Vergleichen Sie die Buchmacher-Quote mit Ihrer eigenen Erwartungsquote, und wenn die Differenz grer als ein Prozentpunkt ist, ist das ein klarer Signal-Alarm.
Wichtige Faktoren Klima, Reisestrecke, Trikots
Hitze kann die Laufleistung halbieren; lange Reisen erschttern die Nerven; das Trikotwechsel-Spiel beeinflusst das Psychospiel. Ignorieren Sie diese Details und Sie treiben im Nebel.
Ein Blick auf die Buchmacher
Die meisten Anbieter vernachlssigen lokale Quellen das ist Ihre Lcke. Wenn Sie sich auf die Berichte von afrikanischen Sportjournalisten sttzen, erhalten Sie ein unvergleichliches Edge.
Um das alles zusammenzutragen, besuchen Sie fussball-sportwetten-live.com und prfen Sie sofort die aktuelle Quoten- und Statistiken-bersicht, bevor Sie Ihren ersten Einsatz platzieren.
Die finale Anweisung
Jetzt handeln: Nehmen Sie die aktuelle Over2,5Statistik, setzen Sie einen kleinen Einsatz auf das Team mit der besten Laufleistung im letzten Viertel, und prfen Sie das LiveBoard nach jeder Halbzeit. Nur das.
Darts WM Ally Pally Strategie – Der Killer‑Plan für die nächste Meisterschaft
Warum die klassische WettLogik versagt
Du hast das gleiche Schema wie immer: Setze auf den Favoriten, streiche das UnderDogRisiko. Aber beim DartsWM ist das ein Reinfall. Die BoardTemperatur, das Publikum und das LichtSetup verndern das Spiel radikal. Kurz gesagt: alte Muster funktionieren nicht mehr. Und genau hier fngt die AllyPallyStrategie an, das ist dein neuer GameChanger.
Ally Pally Was steckt dahinter?
Ally steht fr AllInLiveYield, Pally fr PartialAllLining. Kombiniert, ergibt das eine Taktik, bei der du nicht nur auf das Endergebnis, sondern auf einzelne SetPoints und CheckoutMuster wettest. Denk an Schach: Du planst Zge, bevor dein Gegner berhaupt dran ist. In Darts bedeutet das, du beobachtest die ersten 3Darts jedes Legs, erkennst den Rhythmus des Spielers und greifst exakt dann zu, wenn die Wahrscheinlichkeit fr ein 180Finish in die Hhe schiet.
Der Aufbau des Modells Schritt fr Schritt
Erster Schritt: Daten sammeln. Du brauchst mindestens 50 Legs von jedem TopPlayer, die in den letzten 12Monaten gespielt wurden. Auf wetten-strategie-online.com gibts ein Tool, das das fr dich erledigt. Zweiter Schritt: HeatMap erstellen. Plot die Treffer pro Segment gegen die Zeit im Leg. Dort siehst du, wann ein Spieler in die Triple20Zone kriecht.
Dritter Schritt: WahrscheinlichkeitsKurve. Setz die Punkte in einem kleinen Script zusammen Excel reicht, aber Python machts schneller. Du bekommst Werte wie 67% Chance, dass ein Spieler nach 6Darts ein Checkout von 140 versucht. Das ist dein Signal.
Vierter Schritt: LiveBettingTrigger. Sobald die Kurve den Schwellenwert von 60% berschreitet, platzier die Wette. Hier gilt: Nur 0,05% deines Bankrolls, sonst wirds zu riskant.
Fallstudie: GerwynPrice vs. Peter Wright
Preis hat in den letzten 10Matches ein erstaunliches Muster: nach exakt 12Darts legt er immer einen Doppel12 an. Das war nicht zufllig er reagiert auf das MikroFeedback des Boards. Mit der AllyPallyStrategie hast du den Moment vorhergesagt und bist 1,8mal so profitabel geworden wie ein StandardMatchBet.
Die KillerKombination: SetBet + CheckoutBet
SetBet: Wette auf den SetGewinner, aber nicht zu frh. Warte bis das SetScoreBoard 55 erreicht ist, dann steig ein. CheckoutBet: Parallel setze auf den exakten Checkout (z.B. 140). Diese DoppelStrategie erhht die erwartete Rendite um etwa 12%.
Praktischer Tipp, den du sofort umsetzen kannst
Stell deinen Laptop neben den Fernseher, ffne das WrmeDiagramm, setz das Limit auf 58% und lass das Skript den Trigger geben. Nicht lnger berlegen das Spiel schlgt geradezu fr dich.
An Update from Enfold
Dear Enfold Member,
This past week we bottled Enfold 2015 Anita’s Blend, Jazzin, and a smashing GSM which you’ll receive in your November annual shipment. The wine tastes delicious. The 2015 harvest was small, as the drought limited the vines’ production. We have a total of just 325 cases. We think you’ll love every little drop!
In other news, we’ve sold and moved from our Windwood Road home and vineyard property. Joseph will continue to farm this year’s crop. We have our 2015 vintage, just bottled; the 2016 in the barrel; and the 2017, which will be ready for delivery in 2019.
So don’t worry, in addition to this November’s shipment, you’ll receive your shipments in 2018 and 2019. We will keep you posted on how the vines are growing and the wines are developing.
Thank you for your continued enthusiasm for Enfold. We are so happy that we’ve met so many of you and look forward to seeing more of you in the future.
Salute La Famiglia!
Anita and Joseph August 1, 2017
Enfold Wins at San Francisco Chronicle Competition
We are thrilled to announce that our 2013 Enfold Anita’s Blend won double gold at the 2016 San Francisco Chronicle Wine Competition January 8, 2016, in the All Red Blend category. Double gold is awarded to wines winning unanimous gold from a five-member panel of judges.
In addition, our2013 Enfold Zinfandel took silver among Zinfandels in its category.
This year the San Francisco Chronicle Wine Competition had 7,164 entries from 28 states, more than ever in its three-decade history. During the first week of January, 65 judges from the trade, education, media, and other fields tasted over 100 wines per day in Sonoma County to select the best, most delicious wines in the USA. The judging panels rated entries as Bronze, Silver, Gold, and Double Gold.
Thejudgesagree with our Wine Club members that Enfold is worth gold!
If you’d like to read more about the competition andthe winners, go to Http://winejudging.com/medal-winners.
Salute La Famiglia!
Anita and Joseph
Enfold Medals at 2015 San Francisco International Wine Competition
Enfold Wines 2012 Joseph’s Blend won another Gold Medal recently, this one at the 2015 San Francisco International Wine Competition June 12-14, 2015.
And Enfold Wines 2012 John’s Blend won a Bronze Medal at the same competition.
In his letter congratulating winners, Executive Director Anthony Dias Blue noted that the 2015 competition judged over 4,902 products from 29 states and 26 countries. If you’d like to learn more about the San Francisco International Wine Competition, check out https://sfwinecomp.com/results/overview.
We have only 12 cases left of 2012 Joseph’s Blend and just 10 cases of John’s Blend. Please let us know if you need some to tide you over until the release of our 2013 vintage in November.
Salute La Famiglia!
Enfold Wins Medals and Member Update
LA Medals
We entered someEnfold 2012 vintages in the 2015 Los Angeles International Wine Competition (the 76th), a prestigious wine-tasting event held in May in which a panel of judges blind-tasted vintages from 22 countries and 987 wineries.
Joseph’s Blend won a silver and John’s Blend won a bronze medal.
Not only that.
In the 2015 Pacific Rim Wine Competition, both 2011 Jazzin’ Zinfandel and 2012 John’s Blend took gold medals. This competition, also a blind tasting in Southern California, evaluates 2,000 wines, including reds, whites, roses, and sparklers. (See links below.)
We are so pleased!
Club Member Update
We are sold out of Anita’s Blend, Jazzin Zinfandel, and Rita’s Blend. Currently our wine club has about 140 members. We still expect to max out our membership level at approximately 150 members. Our small estate vineyard only supports enough wine to fill orders from about 150 members.
When will you receive your 2013’s?
In mid August, we will bottle our 2013 vintages. We’ll ship you your case of wine on November 15 so you can enjoy some for Thanksgiving. Please let us know if you’d like to pick up your case of wine instead.
Your shipment of 2013 Enfold will include:
- A fab Cab (Sauvignon)
- Anita’s Blend
- An SMGz(Syrah, Mourvdre, Grenache, and a little Zinfandel, a Paso take on a “GSM”)
- Alicia’s Blend (a blend of Zin, Grenache and Mourvdre), is named for daughter Alicia, so it’s got to be delicious and a tad sassy!
Thank you
Thank you for your continued enthusiasm for the fruits of our labors. You are our treasured Wine Club members. Come visit us in Paso Robles!
Salute La Famiglia,
Anita and Joseph
For more on the competitions described above, see http://www.fairplex.com/wos/wine_competition/AwardsCelebration/winners.asp and
http://www.nosevents.com/uploads/5/1/9/0/51908121/results_by_winery_-_award.pdf
Viva Sicilia! Viva Ravello!
What a wonderful trip we had to Sicily and Italy’sAmalfi coast!
Throughout Sicily and Amalfi, everyone could pronounce our names without even trying and Anita was offered many a smile when they realized her last name was Speciale.
Ravello, on thestoried Amalfi Coast, is the most beautiful place we have ever been. Perched on a cliff hundreds of feet up from the Mediterranean, our hotel upgraded us to a suite with its own small garden, views of the coast and a bathtub three people could soak in (thank you, American Express!). Breakfast, complimentary, was served each morning on our terrace by Nicola. We ate freshly cooked eggs, fruit that was ripe and flavorful, a basket of croissants and breads and pastries, and coffee con latte calda in large silver pots.
Lunches were even better freshly caught lobster in a spicy red tomato sauce accompanied with a dry and flavorful Amalfi red wine and “l’aqua minerale frizzante” (sparkling water). Dinners were fantastic — pasta with a main course (rabbit, pork or veal). We gave the restaurants a C- on their vegetables but the salads were fresh and pleasing — rocket, lettuce, basil, laden with made-that-morning mozzarella and red, ripe cherry tomatoes (which Anita ate like candy), all dressed with rich local olive oil and dark vinegar from Modena. In Ravello, we walked in the rain a lot but enjoyed it nevertheless.
Sicily isnot for the faint of heart. Parts of the capital city of Palermo are as crowded, dirty, noisy, and graffiti-ridden as any city of 1,000,000 inhabitants. But Palermo also offers the magnificent Capella Palatina, a jewel of a 12th century chapel covered in fine mosaics of magical colors and gold; the equally ancient, enormous Norman Palace; and the beautiful Teatro Massimo, one of the largest opera houses in Europe, where we enjoyed an intriguing tour, includingthe fascinating echoing salon. Special pleasures were two memorable dinners with Luisa, an old high school chum of Anita’s (she was an exchange student way back when) and her husband Antonio. They are the most gracious of hosts. At one dinner Joseph had the best gnocchi he has ever eaten!
At the 13th century church of San Francesco d’Assisi, where a funeral was in progress, Anita found her great, great, great, great, (repeat 30 times) great-uncle, ensconced in his marble sarcophagus dating from 1463, topped with a beautiful carved likeness of the young knight. A Speciale of some note! Anita has memories from childhood of the elders saying there was a statue of a famous Speciale in Palermo—that turned out not to be just family folklore.
We visited many more places on the island of Sicily including ancient Agrigento, sparkling Siracusa, Disneylandish Noto, the little beach town of Aci Terezza, and spectacularly steep Taormina. Our tireless traveling companions were cousin Sheila and her husband Tom (Sheila is my dress-up Lucy Stomp pal).
Agrigento, in the southern part of the island, features the remarkable ruins of the Valley of the Temples.Greek temples, to be precise. Today seven temples built between 600 and 400 B.C survive, covering an area about 1 miles long. Fantastic!

Siracusa is a beautiful port city that also found grandeur during the height of the Greek age. Our hotel roomat the water’s edge overlooked the Ionian Sea. The hotel had an outstanding breakfast, which offeredin addition to the usual tasty things—house-made cannoli, a fresh, crispy pastry shell, into which you piped sweet ricotta filling from a pastry tube. Another sublime Sicilian specialty.
Driving was a harrowing experience that kept Joseph from seeing much of the road-side scenery. Wisely, we cancelled our Amalfi rent-a-car and found drivers to shuttle us to and from Naples and our hotel in Ravello.
The wines of Sicily and the Amalfi coast were delicious. It was a treat to sample more varietals and the product of winemakers that we do not typically see in the USA. Cerasuolo di Vittoria, for example, from the eastern end of Sicily, has the oomph of nero d’Avola blended with frappato, a delicious varietal we had not tasted before.
But internationalair travel is a trial…long lines, ever-present waits, cramped seats in crowded planes whose seats, lights and tray tables don’t work half the time. Joseph flew back from our connection point, Amsterdam, for 10 hours using a flashlight to read because his light switch turned on the light of a passenger three rows in front of him. Advanced airline technology! His “personal in-seat TV” didn’t work and his seat could not be put in the full and upright position!” Ten miserable hours! (The flight attendant gave Joseph a $25 voucher which he gave to the woman behind him who had his seat back almost in her lap the whole flight!)
The two weeks of discovery, heavenly food and wine, and spectacular locations made up for the misery of flying, however. We loved learning more of the history of Sicily and Ravello and hope to return someday. Please contact us if you would like more details about travelling there.
Wine Club Members’ Pairings
Enfold wine club members are invited to our wine/food pairings.

